经济发达地区土地利用结构变化预测 --以江苏省江阴市为例

结构决定功能，把握土地利用结构变化的趋势，调整社会经济发展的策略。优化土地利用结构是土地可持续利用的关键。以经济发达地区江苏省江阴市为例，运用马尔柯夫链的理论与方法，构建土地利用结构转移的概率矩阵，预测江阴市2005年和2010年的土地利用结构，并分析其变化特征，以此来研究经济发达地区近期内可能的土地利用结构变化规律。模拟结果表明，经济发达地区土地利用结构变化存在着非农化趋势加快．农地数量减少加速的现象，如果为保证耕地的数量平衡，则可能导致农地内部结构极其不合理。根据研究结果，提出适当释放农地，促进经济发展；运用经济杆杠，提高非农用地利用效率；重视耕地质量，改善生态环境的政策建议。     

颗粒物分界层Mie散射激光雷达识别的sigmoid算法

基于成都市2013年6月~2015年5月期间由Mie散射激光雷达探测的大气消光系数廓线资料,发现混合层以上在颗粒物消光和分子消光之间一致存在一个S型的过渡区,利用sigmoid函数对此分布形态进行模拟,通过计算该函数上下曲率最大点所在的高度,据此提出了颗粒物分界层Mie散射激光雷达识别的sigmoid算法.针对该算法模拟效果的分析表明,颗粒物分界层过渡区附近大气消光系数理论廓线和实测廓线保持了高度的相关性,二者在春夏秋冬四季的相关系数（R）分别为0.9971±0.0052、0.9935±0.0167、0.9979±0.0038和0.9990±0.0021（均通过α=0.05的显著性检验）.基于sigmoid算法计算的颗粒物分界层过渡区与成都市温江站探空资料得到的逆温层之间存在很好的对应关系.     

纳米金红石TiO2的转晶及声催化降解偶氮品红的研究

利用超声波结合过氧化氢(H2O2)使纳米金红石型TiO2转晶,制备出了大约含有30%锐钛相的转晶纳米TiO2.通过TiO2催化超声降解偶氮品红的研究证实了转晶纳米TiO2粉末具有明显的声催化活性.除此之外,还考察了各种因素对转晶纳米TiO2催化超声降解偶氮品红反应的影响.结果表明,在转晶纳米TiO2催化剂的作用下,偶氮品红的超声降解效果明显优于使用纳米金红石型和纳米锐钛型TiO2的情况.偶氮品红的声催化降解过程符合一级动力学反应.在超声波频率40 kHz、输出功率50 W、催化剂用量1000 mg·L-1、pH为5.00、温度为20℃、偶氮品红水溶液初始浓度20 mg·L-1的条件下,照射40 min时的降解率即可达到75%以上.     

水质动态评价的马尔柯夫方法

根据随机过程原理 ,构造了一个新的概率转移矩阵 ,并在此基础上引入进步度的概念 ,对河流水质综合质量变化情况进行动态评价。最后给出了实例分析     

Fe3+催化氧化S(Ⅳ)反应机理初探

通过分析酸性条件下(pH为1～3),Fe3 催化氧化S(Ⅳ)过程中溶液吸光度变化的趋势,对Fe3 催化氧化S(Ⅳ)的反应机理进行了初步推导.实验证明,液相中该反应机理主要是催化氧化与自由基反应相结合,O2的存在对于反应有重要作用,O-2的生成是S(Ⅳ)被氧化的关键;当水中溶解氧接近耗尽时,反应进程发生改变.当Fe3 、S(Ⅳ)浓度增加,自由基生成量增加时,有利于反应进行;作为反应产物,Fe2 、S(Ⅵ)浓度增加,反应推动力减小,反应速率降低;同时Fe2 、SO24-可以与溶液中的其它物质形成配合物,影响了Fe3 -S(Ⅳ)配合物的生成与分解,不利于S(Ⅵ)的氧化.     

Profitability of intensification technologies among smallholder maize farmers in the forest-savanna transition zone of Nigeria

Sustaining the productive capacity of the land resource under the existing land-use system and increasing population pressure requires the use of appropriate technologies that will enhance farm productivity and income levels.This paper examines the effect on farm profitability of smallholder maize farmers’ use of intensification technologies in tropical agriculture. The survey was conducted in southwest Nigeria. A multi-stage sampling technique was used to select 300 respondents from two major agroclimatic zones in Osun State. Primary data were collected using a structured questionnaire and complemented with focus group discussions (FGDs), while the State’s Ministry of Agriculture provided secondary data.Pressure on land was found high because farmland was continuously cropped for an average of 10 years with a mean fallow period of 2 years only. Technologies used to intensify agriculture included inorganic fertilizer, organic manure, alley cropping, and tree planting.Results from costs and returns analysis showed that average net returns to inorganic fertilizer use ranked highest in the two zones, while tree planting ranked lowest. There was a significant ecoregional difference on the average net returns/year earned by users of mineral fertilizer. While organic manure use earned higher net returns than alley cropping practice in the rain forest, the reverse was the case for the derived savanna. FGDs revealed that respondents’ preferred to use inorganic fertilizer despite its inadequate supply because, apart from enhancing higher returns and net gains, it also improved output level and provided an opportunity for the continuous use of the scarce land.These results imply that economic returns play a critical role in farmers’ use of intensification technologies and consequently affect their resource management decisions. Policy measures aimed at promoting research on appropriate technologies that are profitable on farmers’ fields will be more effective in enhancing farmers’ use of intensification technologies.     

环境侵害民事诉讼若干问题探讨

随着社会经济发展到一定阶段,人们的物质文化需求与日益脆弱的环境现实必然产生矛盾--即发展与环境的矛盾.而这种矛盾所导致的结果就是环境侵害案件的不断增多,而由于我国长期以来一直是一个以计划经济为主的发展中国家,法制建设不足,只是在近二十五年中立法工作才得以提速、加强.而这当中,对环境保护及环境违法处置方面的立法尤显不足,由此造成目前现实中的环境侵害案件,用传统诉讼制度来解决时,问题和缺陷日益显露.深入研究此类案件的特点,将有利于司法部门正确解决纠纷,切实保护当事人的权利.本文对环境侵害之诉讼要件中的诉讼主体的确定,诉讼请求的根据与范围、证明规则,以及诉讼时效等问题进行了初步探讨.     

关于黄土高原空间范围的讨论

长期以来,黄土高原的空间范围缺乏明确的定论。争论的焦点反映出不同学者对自然地理现象空间分布过渡性的认识和处理的差异。本文从黄土、黄土分布区、黄土高原及其毗邻的黄土分布区、黄土高原、典型黄土地貌区等几个不同层次的概念出发,探讨了划分黄土高原的客观标准,并根据野外考察和航卫片判读确定了黄土高原的空间范围。     

Implications of Land Use Changes on Carbon Dynamics and Sequestration—Evaluation from Forestry Datasets, India

Forests and soils are a major sink of carbon, and land use changes can affect the magnitude of above ground and below ground carbon stores and the net flux of carbon between the land and the atmosphere. Studies on methods for examining the future consequences of changes in patterns of land use change and carbon flux gains importance, as they provide different options for CO₂ mitigation strategies. In this study, a simulation approach combining Markov chain processes and carbon pools for forests and soils has been implemented to study the carbon flows over a period of time. Markov chains have been computed by converting the land use change and forestry data of India from 1997 to 1999 into a matrix of conditional probabilities reflecting the changes from one class at time t to another class time t+1. Results from Markov modeling suggested Indian forests as a potential sink for 0.94 Gt carbon, with an increase in dense forest area of about 75.93 Mha and decrease of about 3.4 Mha and 5.0 Mha in open and scrub forests, if similar land use changes that occurred during 1997–1999 would continue. The limiting probabilities suggested 34.27 percent as dense forest, 6.90 as open forest, 0.4 percent mangrove forest, 0.1 percent scrub and 58 percent as non-forest area. Although Indian forests are found to be a potential carbon sink, analysis of results from transition probabilities for different years till 2050 suggests that, the forests will continue to be a source of about 20.59 MtC to the atmosphere. The implications of these results in the context of increasing anthropogenic pressure on open and scrub forests and their contribution to carbon source from land use change and forestry sector are discussed. Some of the mitigation aspects to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from land use change and forestry sector in India are also reviewed in the study.